The trouble with consistently recruiting and developing pro talent is that you’re consistently having to replace it.

In a few weeks, Penn State will almost assuredly continue a three-year streak of having at least one defensive end selected in the NFL Draft. Jayson Oweh, last seen making jaws drop at Pro Day, is a possible first-round pick and will almost assuredly go in one of the first two rounds, and if Shaka Toney is also taken, which seems quite likely, it will mark four edge rushers drafted from one program in three years, which puts Penn State on par with anyone in the country.

Though that’s great for Oweh, Toney, Yetur Gross-Matos and Shareef Miller, and also continues a strong tradition for the Nittany Lions at the position that started under the tutelage of Larry Johnson and continued through Sean Spencer and now John Scott Jr., it leaves the current Penn State team in a potential bind at one of the most important positions in the college game.

There are currently 12 players listed as defensive tackles on Penn State’s roster, including veterans P.J. Mustipher and Fred Hansard, promising redshirt freshman Hakeem Beamon and Duke transfer Derrick Tangelo. By contrast, there are only nine defensive ends, including two walk-ons and only one scholarship player, Nick Tarburton, who has been with the program for more than two seasons.

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INDIANA – Oct. 2, Beaver Stadium

Indiana’s quarterback situation makes Penn State’s quarterback situation look like (insert something clever here). 

Michael Penix Jr. – 10-2* as a starter, Davey O’Brien Award semifinalist, 2nd Team All-Big Ten quarterback – remains on the shelf this spring after tearing his ACL during the Hoosiers’ win vs. Maryland in late November 2020. 

When asked on March 1 about his post-surgery progress, Penix Jr. told the IU media he’s “on schedule.” That’s it. Just “on schedule.” Whether that means “on schedule” to fully participate in all aspects of fall camp and then breeze right back under center Week 1 at Iowa, well, Penix Jr. didn’t elaborate…so who knows? According to the first search result on Google – the typical depths of our research here at FTB — ACL rehab/recovery ranges from 7 to 9 months in length. 

To make matters worse for Tom Allen, Indiana 3rd String quarterback Dexter Williams also tore his ACL during a non-contact  spring practice drill – an injury that leaves the Hoosiers with one (1!) healthy scholarship quarterback: Jack Tuttle. In two forgettable starts last year, Tuttle threw for 331 yards while directing an offense that failed to surpass 20 points in either contest. Currently, Zack Merrill, Grant Gremel, and Will Jontz – three walk-ons with the most walk-on-sounding names ever – are sharing backup reps at practice.   

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WISCONSIN – Sept. 4, Camp Randall Stadium

Neanderball has a new (old) sheriff in Madtown.

After bequeathing play-calling responsibilities to offensive coordinator Joe Rudolph for seven forgettable games last year, sweatshirt enthusiast/Wisconsin head coach Paul Chryst told the media in February that he’s snatching those duties back so that he – and only he – can make those tough choices of whether to run left, run right, or run up the middle. 

In fairness to Rudolph, he was pretty much doomed to fail. 

COVID clobbered Wisconsin’s continuity throughout the abnormal 2020 season as an early-season outbreak canceled several games and left the Badgers scrambling to assemble a patchwork 2-deep during weeks they actually took the field.  That disjointed flow probably stunted QB Graham Mertz’s development in his first season as a starter…and if it didn’t, it’s a helluva excuse for his up-and-down performance.  Following a near-perfect debut vs. Illinois – 20-21, 248 yards, 5 TD – Mertz threw more interceptions than touchdowns the rest of the way and only completed above 60 percent of his passes in one of his six remaining starts. 

Up front, 4 of 5 starting slots on the offensive line are up for grabs, which would be worrisome if this was any other team besides Wisconsin. History hints they’ll be fine in the trenches. In fact, expect more in-game rotation/substitution along the offensive line compared to previous seasons because of the surplus of 4- and 5-star beefeaters on the Badgers roster. 

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Football, when you think about it, is all about math.

Quarterbacks are judged on their completion percentage (or QBR), running backs on their yards per carry, offensive and defensive linemen on the mass they possess and the mass they can move around. Coaches, of course, on their ability to make the hundreds of little equations add up to a win each week.

One of Penn State’s most underrated equations – the ability of Dwight Galt and his strength staff to add size and speed and skill to raw talent and turn it into future talent – was on display again this week during the team’s pro day.

Micah Parsons, a likely top 10 draft choice and the inarguable No. 1 linebacker in the Class of 2021, ran a 4.39-second 40 – one-tenth of a second off the best-ever time by a linebacker at the combine, Shaquem Griffin’s 4.38 in 2018 – at 246 pounds, or 21 heavier than Griffin. And it wasn’t even the top time of the afternoon. That one was a 4.36 40, which belonged to defensive END Jayson Oweh, who ran it at 257 pounds. That time was five hundredths of a second better than Montez Sweat, at 260 pounds, posted at the combine two years ago, which was the fastest ever.

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FTB’s Rapid Reaction/Stream of Consciousness Following Two Hours of Watching Guys Mostly Stand Around

• Well, that’s a chunk of our lives we can’t get back. For those stuck at work wondering ‘What did I miss??!?!?!” first of all, calm down. You didn’t miss much of anything. Yes, Jayson Oweh ran a 4.4 40-yard dash that turned into a 4.37 that turned into a 4.36 (somehow), and yes, Micah Parsons ran a 4.41 that turned into a 4.35 that turned into a 4.39 (???) but easily the most impressive showing belonged to BTN’s Dave Revsine and Howard Griffith for masterfully filling air time when absolutely nothing was going on.

• Interesting stat: Since 2014 – James Franklin’s first year at Penn State – seven other Power 5 football teams have posted at least three 11-win seasons besides the Nittany Lions. Ohio State. Alabama. Oklahoma. Clemson. Georgia. TCU. Wisconsin. Of those teams, Penn State has produced the lowest number of 1st Round NFL Draft picks in that time – 1, Saquon Barkley. Honestly, I don’t know if this is a good thing or a bad thing. Depends on how you spin it, I guess. Ohio State and Alabama are tied at the top with 16 1st Rounders. Clemson has 10. Georgia, 8. Oklahoma, 5. What’s surprising, though, is that TCU and Wisconsin have produced 4 and 3 1st Rounders, respectively.

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Introduction

With the offseason hiring of Mike Yurcich, Penn State welcomes its fourth different offensive coordinator in five years.  Therefore, In comparison, the fact that defensive coordinator Brent Pry is about to enter his 6th season calling the shots on the other side of the ball makes him a relative stalwart and model of stability. So today let’s analyze how he’s done leading the squad over the past five years. 

During Pry’s tenure, there have been periods of frustration – the 2017 and 2018 OSU comeback losses, the 4th quarter of the 2017 Rose Bowl, the first half of the 2020 season – but all-in-all the fan barometer of our time with Pry seems mostly positive. But what do the stats say? Are there specific areas of weakness? 3rd down defense? Pass defense against otherwise mediocre quarterbacks? Let’s find out.

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It’s been a rough year for hoops fans in Bloomington. 

Indiana, which is currently without a head coach, is watching the NCAA Tournament from home for the fourth straight year (not counting the non-tournament 2020). Hoosier fans might have felt a bit of solace watching in-state rival Purdue get bounced out of the tournament by North Texas on Friday in overtime. 

Bet they weren’t nearly as happy about it as Penn State fans were, though.

The end of Purdue’s season officially marked the beginning of Micah Shrewsberry’s Penn State tenure, and he faces several short-term obstacles in what is arguably one of the nation’s toughest long-term challenges. Just about everyone in the Nittany Lions’ regular rotation hit the transfer portal last week, and though those departures most likely have a lot more to do with players’ feelings toward the administration rather than toward the new coach, it still leaves Shrewsberry with a ton of roster-building to do.

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While We Celebrate Barry White Driving the Snakes Out of Springfield By Drinking Cheap Domestic Beer and Playing Irish Folk Music Like House of Pain on Loop, Let’s Examine Instances Where Good Fortune (and Misfortune) Shone Down on Penn State Football

Friends of the Blog know we absolutely SALAVATE when anniversaries/holidays pop up because it gives us an excuse to crank out a list no one asked for.

Oh, it’s Flag Day? Let’s rank the worst penalties ever called against Penn State.

Independence Day? Top moments in program history from 1887 to 1992.

Fungal Disease Awareness Week? Simple. Nittany Lion playmakers with the sickest feet ever.

Well, as your annoying green-clad coworkers might have told you, today is St. Patrick’s Day, so there’s no better time for us to think back and whip up a collection of Lucky and Unlucky plays from Penn State’s recent past. Our simple criteria: Lucky plays had to occur during significant Penn State wins and factor heavily in that win (so plays like Chris Godwin’s lucky juggling circus catch in the Rose Bowl didn’t make it). Unlucky plays, the exact opposite — bad breaks that happened during losses…mostly (we made an exception at the end).  

After you read, let us know what plays we missed in the comments section or on our Twitter @fortheblogy. Heck, we might do this again next year.

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