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For The Blogy - A New Look at the Penn State Nittany Lions
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2021 Season

Dispensing Thoughts & Opinions: Penn State vs. Ball State

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• Because Tulsa and Oklahoma State prolonged their in-state pillow fight past 3:30 p.m. with a string needless incomplete passes, FS1 joined the Penn State-Ball State broadcast seconds before kickoff, so those of us at home missed out on the pre-game Beaver Stadium ambiance, which sucked. But, for an out-of-conference, come-get-clobbered-for-a-fat-check schedule filler, the joint sounded louder than usual, didn’t it?

• Predictably, the unit Penn State fans chomped fingernails fretting over in the preseason – the Nittany Lions unproven defensive line – can’t be blocked, and the two offensive groups that were sure to be transcendent – the 5-deep RB corps and “the most talented tight end room in program history” – belong on the side of a milk carton.

• About those running backs…where’s the lightning to Noah Cain’s thunder? Yes, it was refreshing to finally see Keyvone Lee quit switching directions aimlessly like a vibrating electric football player with a faulty green base and rip off a handful of solid north-south runs after halftime. But spelling Cain with Lee, or Lee with Cain, feels like tossing away the Dasani and picking up an Aquafina. They’re redundant. What’s the deal with John Lovett? Where’s Caziah Holmes?

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September 11, 2021by FTB Staff
FTB Film Study

FTB Film Study – How Penn State’s Defense Fueled an Upset Road Win at Wisconsin

September 6, 2021by FTB Staff
2021 Season

Hindsight 2021: PSU Offense vs. Wisconsin

 Don’t Worry, Mike Yurcich, the Sweet Smell of Victory Masks All

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FTB CHARTING – BOX SCORE

 Going on out a limb here, but if Penn State’s second-half offensive production sextuples (giggity) its first-half offensive production every single week from now until the end of the season…well…hmm…actually, they’ll still probably lose to Ohio State by two touchdowns.

But, hey, 11-1! Not bad, huh?

After making a rather off-putting 43-yard first impression in front of the Penn State faithful, new OC Mike Yurcich went in at halftime, figuratively picked parsley out of his front teeth, popped a couple quarters in the ‘Cologne At A Touch’ vending machine, sat back down and charmed us for the next 30 minutes with a smattering of successful deep shots coupled with a 34-yard outside zone bash that instantly made us forget about our ex, Kirk Ciarrocca.

Yeah, it’s early, but things are already getting pretty serious. Can’t help it. Those 254 second-half yards of offense vs. Wisconsin, enough to eek out a 16-10 heart-pounder on the road, has us feeling some type of way. Maybe he’s THE one. Maybe he’s not. Regardless, we’re moving fast…which is kind of what he’s known for.

And guess what? This weekend, we’re introducing Mike to 107,000 of our friends!

Hopefully, they like him.

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September 6, 2021by FTB Staff
PSU ABC's

Analytics, Basic Stats, and Recent Historic Context: The ABC’s of Penn State Football – PSU vs Wisconsin

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Introduction

Welcome back! The 2021 Penn State football season started out with a nerve-racking but overall successful road game against a tough Wisconsin team. Through 30 paint-drying minutes, Penn State’s offense ran 22 plays and racked up a whopping 43 yards. Then, for whatever reason, the script flipped after halftime. Penn State got in a rhythm, went up-tempo on the first drive, hit Dotson deep for six, and teased us with what could be in Mike Yurcich’s offensive system. Truly it was a tale of two halves. – the best of times, the worst of times, an age of foolishness, an age of wisdom…all in four quarters.

Quick Hitters

Before we get into the numbers and nerdy stuff, we’re adding this section featuring 3 stats from offense, defense, or special teams that dictated the outcome of the game. Here we go…

  1. For all of the criticism that Jordan Stout will get this week for missing an extra point and a FG from extra-point distance, don’t overlook that he averaged 53.9 yards-per-punt on 7 punts against Wisconsin. Those hidden yards on special teams often times are the difference between victory and defeat, especially in a low-scoring donnybrook like what we saw on Saturday.
  2. Penn State finished +3 in turnover margin on Saturday. Out of 89 games with James Franklin as the head coach, the Nittany Lions have been +3 or better in 9 games – all wins.
  3. Two weeks ago, we wrote about Penn State’s Defensive Scoring Efficiency (points allowed per-drive. PPD for short) being far worse in 2020 than previous years. In 2020, the Lions allowed 2.3 Points Per Drive. Against Wisconsin, the defense allowed an incredible 0.78 PPD. The best Defensive Scoring Efficiency mark since 2009 belongs to the 2011 Alabama defense that allowed 0.62 PPP for the entire season. This Nittany Lion team (probably) won’t sustain this rate but, man, did they need every bit of that performance on Saturday.

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September 6, 2021by FTB Nathan
2021 Season

Sunday Column: Nittany Lions Open With a W Thanks to Persistent and Surprisingly Prolific D

The offenses made it look like the first game of the season. Penn State’s offense had 2 (!!) rushing yards and 43 total yards at halftime, and minus-2 (!!) rushing yards through the first three quarters. Wisconsin’s offense turned the ball over three times in Penn State territory. The Nittany Lions missed a 23-yard field goal and an extra point; the Badgers had a 25-yard field-goal try blocked. The teams combined for 13 punts and 11 three-and-outs.

All of those numbers, and the utter lack of offensive rhythm by either preseason top-20 squad, however, also help tell another, perhaps more important story: The defenses did not look like they were playing in the first game of the season. And, in a mild upset, Penn State’s was the defense that carried the day in Saturday’s 16-10 win in Camp Randall.

Wisconsin returned eight starters from a defense that led the conference in yardage allowed and was third in points allowed (albeit in seven games) and, despite inside linebacker Leo Chenal being a late scratch after testing positive for COVID-19, the Badgers lived up to that standard, putting constant pressure on Sean Clifford and his offensive line with a mix of stunts and pressure from various angles and forcing Penn State’s running backs to work hard just to get back to the line of scrimmage.

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September 4, 2021by FTB Jeff
2021 Season

Dispensing Thoughts and Opinions – Penn State vs. Wisconsin

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• Please excuse any typos. My fingers won’t stop shaking. And to our neighbors, sorry about the yelling.

• If this isn’t Brent Pry’s finest hour, it’s pretty damn close. Ohio State 2016? Iowa 2017 or 2019? Do those performances top this one? Even factoring in ‘prisoner of the moment’ syndrome, I don’t think they do. For 42 minutes, 51 seconds, Wisconsin’s well-fed maulers slugged Penn State’s defense right in the mouth and like some deranged masochist with cauliflower ear the Nittany Lions smiled and asked for more. I’m sure this exact stat will eventually leak out on Twitter, but until it does, I can’t imagine Wisconsin’s record in games in which they possessed the ball for 40-plus minutes isn’t undefeated….well, until today, obviously. From a technical standpoint, the two glaring issues that we highlighted ad nauseam throughout our 2020 Penn State defense Film Studies – fitting run gaps and communication breakdowns in the secondary – weren’t a problem today.

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September 4, 2021by FTB Staff
Film at 11

Film at 11: Wisconsin Defense

Editor’s Note: Each week during the season, the FTB Staff will release its scouting report on Penn State’s upcoming opponent. Normally, these blogs will be posted at 11 a.m. EST Thursday and Friday…but we’re a little premature this week. Hey, happens to the best of us. 

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Wisconsin defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard’s life is a John Cougar Mellencamp song waiting to be written.

Reared in Tony, Wisconsin, a ‘town’ of 113 people, Leonhard’s Herculean high school athletic accomplishments – gaining 500 total yards from scrimmage in a single football game, nailing 10 3-pointers in a basketball game, striking out 19 of 21 batters in 7 innings – sound so fantastical even Al Bundy and Uncle Rico call BS. But, apparently, it’s all true…or at least that’s how it reads on the giant wood Jim Leonard sign near the edge of town; you know, the one a guy in a “dusty, dented and scratched red Chevrolet Silverado 4×4 pickup truck” constructed few years back.

When no Division I school offered Leonhard a scholarship, he walked-on at Wisconsin, played four years, and was named All-American three times despite not earning a full-ride until his senior season (according to Wikipedia, anyway. This can’t be right, can it?!?! Dude was paying for his own Meal Plan while an All-American safety??!?!)

When no NFL team bothered drafting Leonhard, the 5-foot-8 Scrappy Doo made the Buffalo Bills roster as an UDFA and stuck around the league for decade, earning $9 million in the process.

And this past winter, when the bigger-than-Jesus (in Wisconsin, anyway) Green Bay Packers wooed and courted Leonhard to fill their vacant DC position, the Badgers’ 38-year-old X’s and O’s prodigy turned them down, explaining to madison.com, “I love being back here at my alma mater and honestly trying to take this program to places it hasn’t been.”

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August 31, 2021by FTB Bill
Film at 11

Film at 11: Wisconsin Offense

Editor’s Note: Each week during the season, the FTB Staff will release its scouting report on Penn State’s upcoming opponent. Normally, these blogs will be posted at 11 a.m. EST Thursday and Friday…but we’re a little premature this week. Hey, happens to the best of us. 

 Sponsor: Hey, it’s us! For The Blogy! Join our 2021 FTB Donors Club – the best way for you to show your support and keep this train rolling – and receive an exclusive FTB zipper bottle Koozie as a gift! Sign up HERE.

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For 8 months, the 2020 Duke’s Mayo Bowl – a game whose live TV viewership couldn’t match the swarm of clicks the destruction of its trophy received on Instagram – has been the unwanted relative sitting in my DVR.

Countless times my Significant Other has asked, ‘Hey can we get rid of this?’ in order to free up room for episodes of General Hospital or that one show where home renovators are always shocked to find mold. And countless times I’ve replied, “No, we cannot get rid of this. I need it.”  

OK, maybe “countless times” is a tad hyperbolic.  We can all count to two. 

Regardless, the point I’m failing to make is that putting together informative scouts on Penn State’s Week 1 opponents will forever be clunky because you’re using tape that’s collected a lot of digital dust since last season. Guys graduate. Guys transfer. Guys return from injury. Guys move up the depth chart, beating out starters from last season.

And in Wisconsin’s case, guys also can get 2020’d. 

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August 30, 2021by FTB Bill
2021 Season

Big Stakes for B1G’s Brand

A Slate of High-Profile Non-Conference Matchups Could Define the Big Ten Before the Leaves Change

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If there is one lesson to be learned thus far from college football’s playoff era, it is this: Brand matters.

While the number of playoff berths seems destined to expand eventually, it appears we will have several more years with the current model, in which the supply of postseason slots dramatically dwarfs the demand from would-be participants and their fans. It is a system where national perception of your program definitively dictates the reality of its playoff chances, a trend that absolutely extends to your conference at large. So if you aspire to chase an elusive committee selection, a great name is a necessity, but it sure helps to keep the right company. Don’t believe me? Ask our fellow Rebel Alliance partner the PAC-12 about how level the playing field seems from where they sit.

Perversely, one of the more frustrating losses for Penn State fans, a potential home upset of Ohio State in 2014 that hinged on two abjectly terrible blown calls, probably altered the Big Ten’s fate in the selection committee’s brand equity horse race – and therefore the Lions’ own future playoff chances – for the better. In August of 2014, the preseason conventional wisdom tabbed the stodgy Big Ten, clinging to its cable boxes and dusty memories of days gone by, as the most likely “odd man out” of the five-conference race for four newly-minted playoff spots. As it happened, Urban Meyer’s Buckeyes caught lightning in a bottle, and after a demolition of Wisconsin in the B1G Championship vaulted them over TCU and into the inaugural CFP, Ohio State toppled mighty Alabama on its way to a national title win over Oregon. That championship performance, which resuscitated the Big Ten’s flagging reputation and pushed the Big XII and PAC-12 down in the pecking order, never would have happened without the Nittany Lions taking one for the team.

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August 29, 2021by FTB Staff
2021 Season

Sunday Column: All Eyes on Clifford as Pivotal Penn State Season Approaches

Soon, we will find out exactly what sort of Penn State team we have on our hands. We won’t have to guess or argue about whether the defensive line has enough depth or who will step up as the third wide receiver – we’ll know. College football is back, and by this time next week, the Nittany Lions will be 1-0 or 0-1 and we’ll have five times more questions but we’ll also have 10 times more answers, with more to follow each week as summer becomes fall.

At the same time, what has been pretty much the question of the offseason, if not the last three years, will likely remain, and that is:

Can Sean Clifford get it done?

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August 28, 2021by FTB Jeff
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