Since the end of the 2021 season, two things have been true about Penn State football.
The first is that the Nittany Lions have been steadily improving as a program. The second is that they’ve been at least a step behind the two major programs in their conference.
With several traditional Pac 12 powers rotating into the Big Ten and onto Penn State’s schedule this fall, and Michigan (at least temporarily) rotating off of it, it is worth examining whether there will be more teams standing between the Lions and a playoff during the next few seasons or if the influx of new teams could disrupt the balance of power in the conference.
USC, which hosts Penn State on Oct. 12, lost five games with the nation’s top quarterback at the helm in 2023. UCLA, which visits Beaver Stadium on Oct. 5, fired Chip Kelly after six seasons in which the Bruins lost at least four games. Washington, which comes to State College on Nov. 9, is coming off its best season in years but lost both head coach Kalen DeBoer and quarterback Michael Penix Jr. Oregon, which isn’t on the Lions’ schedule this fall, is coming off a 12-2 season, though it must replace quarterback Bo Nix.